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policy energy

Coal Coal Nuclear Hydro Storage PV Wind CSP Gas & Other
(decommissioning) Diesel (Distributed Genera-
tion, CoGen, Blomass,
Landfill)
Current base 37 149 1 860 2 100 2 912 1 474 1 980 300 3 830 499
2019 2 155 -2 373 244 300
Allocation to the
2020 1 433 -557 114 300 extent of the short
2021 1 433 -1 403 300 818 term capacity and
energy gap
2022 711 -844 513 400 1 000 1 600
2023 750 -555 1 000 1 600 500
2024 1 860 1 600 1 000 500
2025 1 000 1 600 500
2026 -1 219 1 600 500
2027 750 -847 1 600 1 000 500
2028 -475 1 000 1 600 500
2029 -1 694 1 575 1 000 1 600 500
2030 -1 050 2 500 1 000 1 600 500
Total installed 33 364 1 860 4 600 5 000 8 288 17 742 600 6 380
capacity by 2030 (MW)
% Total installed 43 2.36 5.84 6.35 10.52 22.53 0.76 8.10
capacity (% of MW)
% Annual Energy
Contribution (% of 58.8 4.50 8.40 1.20* 6.30 17.80 0.60 1.30
MWh)
Installed Capacity Committed/already contracted capacity Capacity decommissioned New additional capacity
Extension of Koeberg plant design life Includes distributed generation capacity of own use

* 2030 Coal installed capacity is less capacity decommissioned between years 2020 and 2030.
* Koeberg power station rated/installed capacity will revert to 1 926MW (original design capacity) following design life extention work.
* Other/distributed generation includes all generation facilities in circumstances in which the facility is operated solely to supply electricity to an end-use
customer within the same property with the facility.
* Short term capacity gap is estimated at 2 000MW.

suggested that the Department of Mineral commissioned in 2019. Beyond South Gas
Resources and Energy will publish an Africa’s conducive sun and wind, South 1,000 MW of new gas to power will
erratum to the IRP 2019 to clarify that the Africa has some of the world’s largest be installed by 2023 and 2,000 MW
government will “commence preparations high-grade resources in vanadium, will be installed by 2027. The Minister
for a nuclear build programme to the platinum, palladium, nickel, manganese, recognised the flexibility that gas to power
extent of 2,500MW at a pace and scale rare earths, copper and cobalt, which technologies can provide to complement
that the country can afford because it is a are used in the global energy storage intermittent renewable energy and meet
no-regret option in the long term.” sector and create an opportunity for new demand during peaking hours.
Renewable Energy and Battery Storage industry and localisation. As a starting point and to support the
6,000 MW of new solar PV capacity and development of gas infrastructure,
14,400 MW of new wind power capacity Eskom is not precluded from Eskom intends to convert all diesel-fired
will be commissioned by 2030 under power plants (Peakers) to gas. Also,
IRP 2019. The current annual build developing renewable energy. as indicated during the Department of
limits on solar PV and wind have been Eskom is also already working Mineral Resources and Energy’s budget
retained pending a report on the just on utility scale battery vote, the department intends to establish
transition strategy. There will be no new storage. 5,000MW of battery the first LNG hub in Coega Industrial
concentrated solar power commissioned storage will be commissioned Development Zone in the Eastern Cape
under IRP 2019 up to 2030 beyond the by 2030. Province. It appears unlikely that LNG
300 MW already committed to being to Power technology will be procured in

AFRICAN POWER Mining & Oil Review Vol 28, Issue 29, 2019 | 21